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児島 8R

児島キングカップ開設73周年記念競走 - 一般 (1800m)

海水潮流あり満潮時イン有利イン
潮流あり満潮イン有利干潮荒れ

出走表

枠選手級ST全国当地モーターボート
1
塩田 北斗
38歳 52.3kg
A10.14
6.53
34.9%
8.14
66.7%
25.8%
54.8%
30.2%
38.1%
2
高野 哲史
36歳 52kg
A10.16
6.77
50.8%
6.50
40.0%
26.1%
43.5%
30.9%
49.1%
3
中野 次郎
44歳 54.1kg
A10.13

直前情報

天候: 曇気温: 10℃水温: 10℃風: 2m 南西波: 3cm
枠コース展示ST展示T体重調整チルト
110.026.7552.3kg0kg0
220.046.6952kg0kg-0.5
330.106.8654.1kg0kg0
450.096.5752.2kg0kg

オッズ

1
2315.6
424.6
521.0
670.0
3219.4
420.2
521.8
681.5
4225.6
327.4
532.2
680.3
5234.4
338.5
452.8
692.2
62144.6
3181.3
4165.7
5210.2
2
1387.3
478.3
597.0
6199.0
31144.3
4263.8
5286.6
6511.4
41107.1
3219.2
5242.0
6310.1
51192.6
3320.9
4301.3
6528.6
61410.3
3818.0
4564.2
5893.1
3
12113.0
487.6
5113.2
6266.5
21176.0
4178.6
5176.5
6425.0
41118.0
2171.3
5162.0
6378.6
51195.4
2193.4
4181.2
6387.4
61721.7
2806.1
4690.1
5981.9
4
1220.7
328.1
527.5
639.6
2128.2
338.3
539.1
650.9
3144.1
250.9
568.3
684.0
5138.9
244.4
366.1
658.9
6145.5
250.8
371.4
571.9
5
12143.8
3202.7
4156.7
6293.4
21185.3
3192.3
4181.1
6247.6
31305.8
2250.0
4337.4
6593.0
41148.4
2159.1
3252.0
6226.4
61493.1
2364.6
3784.1
4485.9
6
12443.5
3633.9
4399.6
5629.7
21611.1
3799.3
4548.7
5900.4
31948.1
21101.0
4867.4
51345.0
41305.1
2347.2
3498.3
5455.4
51877.7
21123.0
31277.0
4703.3

AI分析

A1 rank competitors clash at Kojima; the outcome hinges on whether Shiota (1st) can withstand the extreme speed assault from Suga (4th) using a tilt +3 setup.

王道★★★☆☆

Local Master Shiota's Escapade

Shiota, boasting a high 8.14 local win rate, secures the top spot with a sharp 0.02 exhibition start. He utilizes the inside advantage to block the field, with Takano and Nakano following in a standard sequence as the internal wall holds firm.

根拠
  • -Shiota's superior local win rate of 8.14 and a very aggressive 0.02 exhibition start.
  • -The 2nd and 3rd boats are experienced A1 racers who can act as an effective wall against outside attacks.
  • -Kojima's mild water conditions and light 2m wind favor the pole position when the start is timed correctly.
  • -Exhibition data suggests the 1st boat has sufficient motor power to hold the lead if it reaches the first turn first.
賭式買い目オッズ金額想定払戻結果

結果

天候: 曇気温: 10℃水温: 10℃風: 2m 南西波: 3cm決まり手: まくり
着枠選手名登番コースST
14菅 章哉457150.13
22高野 哲史451220.14
35森高 一真403040.13
43中野 次郎407530.11
5

払戻金

賭式組合せ払戻金
3連単4-2-53,910円
3連複2=4=51,730円
2連単4-21,220円
2連複2=41,080円
拡連複2=4350円
2=5500円
4=5380円
単勝4210円
複勝21,310円
4330円
6.36
44.0%
6.11
33.3%
41.8%
56.7%
32.8%
55.7%
4
菅 章哉
37歳 52.2kg
A10.15
6.93
51.0%
7.07
66.7%
41.8%
53.7%
30.8%
49.2%
5
森高 一真
47歳 50kg
A10.14
6.23
33.0%
7.67
44.4%
35.9%
45.3%
31.8%
49.2%
6
葛原 大陽
42歳 52kg
A10.14
6.25
44.1%
5.82
27.3%
36.9%
56.9%
30.5%
45.8%
3
540.056.8150kg2kg-0.5
66-0.056.8652kg0kg0
3連単
1-2-3
15.6
300円
4,680円
--
3連単1-3-219.4300円5,820円--
3連単1-2-424.6200円4,920円--
3連単1-3-420.2200円4,040円--
合計1,000円4,040〜5,820円
穴★★★★☆

Suga's Tilt +3 Thunderbolt

Suga utilizes a tilt 3.0 setting and clocking a blistering 6.57 exhibition time to overpower the inner boats from the 5th course. His straight-line speed allows him to sweep the field, with the 1st boat struggling to recover but potentially holding for second.

根拠
  • -Suga's 6.57 exhibition time is significantly faster than the rest, indicating overwhelming top speed.
  • -The tilt 3.0 setting is a specific tactic by Suga to dominate via 'Makuri' (all-out sprint and turn).
  • -Even if the 1st boat starts well, Suga's motor extension might allow him to cross over before the first mark.
  • -High odds for 4-1-X combinations reflect the risk-reward ratio of this known specialist's tactic.
賭式買い目オッズ金額想定払戻結果
3連単4-1-220.7300円6,210円--
3連単4-1-527.5300円8,250円--
3連単4-5-138.9200円7,780円--
3連単4-2-128.2200円5,640円--
合計1,000円5,640〜8,250円
大穴★★☆☆☆

The Outside Chain Reaction

As Suga (4th) forces a massive 'Makuri' move, the inner boats (1-3) collide or drift wide while defending, opening a path for Moritaka (5th) and Kuzuhara (6th). Moritaka follows the 4th boat's wake to slice through the middle for a high-payout victory.

根拠
  • -Aggressive moves by boat 4 often create chaotic spaces that boats 5 and 6 can exploit through 'Sashi' (turning inside).
  • -Moritaka (5th) is a highly skilled veteran (A1) who excels at reading the 1st mark scramble.
  • -Kuzuhara (6th) has consistent 3-place finishes (44%) and can capitalize on inner boat errors.
  • -Historical data at Kojima suggests that when tilt-up specialists fail or over-commit, the following out-lane boats often see the biggest payout increase.
賭式買い目オッズ金額想定払戻結果
3連単4-5-658.9300円17,670円--
3連単4-6-571.9200円14,380円--
3連単5-4-1148.4300円44,520円--
3連単5-4-2159.1200円31,820円--
合計1,000円14,380〜44,520円
1
塩田 北斗
4566
1
0.23
66葛原 大陽459660.32