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戸田 12R

スカパー!・JLC杯戸田ルーキーシリーズ第5戦 - 戸田選抜戦 (1800m)

淡水全場最狭水面でまくり天国イン
最狭水面まくり天国差し不利

出走表

枠選手級ST全国当地モーターボート
1
砂長 知輝
26歳 52.5kg
A10.14
6.80
52.2%
6.97
56.6%
27.0%
46.9%
30.6%
47.6%
2
田中 駿兵
23歳 52.5kg
A10.14
7.16
59.0%
4.71
35.7%
30.9%
50.8%
29.5%
49.2%
3
中野 希一
26歳 52.4kg
A10.13

直前情報

2026-03-07 16:55 更新
天候: 晴気温: 13℃水温: 10℃風: 5m 東南東波: 4cm
枠コース展示ST展示T体重調整チルト
110.136.9152.5kg0kg0
22-0.096.9052.5kg0kg-0.5
33-0.097.0952.4kg0kg0
44-0.026.96

オッズ

2026-03-07 16:55 更新
1
2315.2
411.8
520.0
626.0
3221.0
422.2
534.8
637.9
4218.0
331.4
528.8
632.6
5237.0
362.0
448.7
659.6
6259.3
386.0
469.6
598.7
2
1337.7
426.6
535.5
637.7
3186.8
4143.0
5154.3
6179.3
4163.8
3142.8
5101.5
695.9
51106.3
3209.7
4153.3
6157.6
61122.9
3299.1
4183.0
5235.0
3
1276.8
479.1
591.4
696.0
21120.5
4167.5
5177.5
6231.0
41149.8
2196.4
5217.4
6228.8
51206.1
2231.2
4286.3
6288.8
61240.7
2398.4
4402.0
5479.7
4
1265.5
3123.6
571.8
676.1
2189.5
3199.9
5116.1
6118.8
31203.8
2277.2
5322.0
6280.2
5184.2
2116.6
3236.0
695.3
61119.0
2154.8
3313.3
5153.2
5
12128.3
3200.3
4154.2
6159.2
21168.8
3339.7
4251.9
6254.2
31340.3
2447.6
4497.2
6514.7
41174.2
2223.9
3433.4
6196.2
61256.8
2341.2
3637.8
4294.8
6
12127.4
3244.4
4173.5
5286.9
21157.1
3441.1
4254.2
5392.0
31378.5
2669.2
4668.0
5847.2
41235.5
2284.8
3605.5
5384.8
51368.9
2491.6
3883.2
4416.4

AI分析

的中

The inner course is historically weak at Toda, but Sunaga has high local skill. However, the poor performance of the 3rd boat in the exhibition suggests a potential sweep from the 4th or 6th boat.

5,200円 的中!
王道★★★☆☆

Sunaga's Escape and Defense

Sunaga maintains the lead from the first course by utilizing his superior local win rate. Tanaka in the 2nd lane acts as a wall, preventing center attacks, while Sunaga turns tightly to secure the top spot.

根拠
  • -Sunaga's local win rate (6.97) is the highest among the field, showing strong adaptability to Toda's narrow surface.
  • -The 2nd boat Tanaka is an A1 class racer who can provide a solid defensive wall if he gets a standard start.
  • -The 3rd boat Nakano showed a very poor exhibition time (7.09), creating a gap that favors the inner two boats if they start well.

結果

天候: 晴気温: 12℃水温: 10℃風: 5m 南南東波: 3cm決まり手: 逃げ
着枠選手名登番コースST
11砂長 知輝511210.08
22田中 駿兵527820.14
36青木 蓮522060.21
43中野 希一513230.09
5

払戻金

賭式組合せ払戻金
3連単1-2-62,600円
3連複1=2=61,040円
2連単1-2440円
2連複1=2310円
拡連複1=2190円
1=6290円
2=6480円
単勝1200円
複勝1160円
2240円
6.78
55.1%
6.77
54.8%
27.7%
40.1%
34.4%
52.8%
4
竹間 隆晟
25歳 52.6kg
A10.15
6.01
43.3%
6.48
57.1%
39.4%
62.9%
31.4%
45.5%
5
若林 義人
28歳 56kg
A10.14
6.27
48.5%
5.29
42.9%
31.1%
46.2%
29.6%
47.2%
6
青木 蓮
25歳 51.5kg
A10.14
5.99
41.7%
6.20
47.2%
34.7%
50.0%
37.4%
56.1%
52.6kg
0kg
-0.5
55-0.256.9856kg0kg-0.5
66-0.166.8151.5kg0.5kg0
  • -Sunaga's exhibition start (0.13) was the only stable one among the fleet, indicating better focus.
    • 賭式買い目オッズ金額想定払戻結果
    3連単1-2-411.8300円3,540円--
    3連単1-4-218.0300円5,400円--
    3連単1-2-626.0200円5,200円
    3連単1-4-632.6200円6,520円--
    合計1,000円3,540〜6,520円
    穴★★★★☆

    Takema's 4-Course Dash

    The 3rd boat's lack of speed allows Takema in the 4th lane to accelerate and execute a powerful 'Makuri' (roll-over) at the first mark. The inner boats are swallowed by the momentum, allowing outer followers to capitalize.

    根拠
    • -Nakano (3rd boat) recorded a disastrous 7.09 exhibition time, making it highly likely that the 4th boat will overtake him at the start.
    • -Takema's motor has a high 2-win rate of 39.4%, providing the necessary power for a dash attack.
    • -Toda's course layout is famous for the success of 4-course Makuri when the center boat fails to act as a pivot.
    • -The 5m southeast wind can act as a tailwind or side-wind component that destabilizes the 1st boat's turn.
    賭式買い目オッズ金額想定払戻結果
    3連単4-1-265.5300円19,650円--
    3連単4-1-571.8300円21,540円--
    3連単4-5-184.2200円16,840円--
    3連単4-5-695.3200円19,060円--
    合計1,000円16,840〜21,540円
    大穴★★★☆☆

    Aoki's Extreme Outside Surge

    Aoki showcases overwhelming speed with the best exhibition time, cutting through the field from the 6th lane. He exploits the chaos created by the 4th boat's attack to find a narrow gap for a 'Makuri-zashi'.

    根拠
    • -Aoki's exhibition time of 6.81 is significantly faster than any other racer, indicating top-tier motor performance.
    • -If the 4th boat attacks and forces the 1st boat to go wide, a large opening often appears for the 6th boat at Toda.
    • -Aoki's boat 2-win rate is 37.4%, and his tilt setting of 0 suggests he is looking for maximum straight-line speed.
    • -High odds (over 100x) are available for the 6-1 and 6-2 combinations, offering high risk-reward potential.
    賭式買い目オッズ金額想定払戻結果
    3連単6-1-2127.4300円38,220円--
    3連単6-1-4173.5300円52,050円--
    3連単6-2-1157.1200円31,420円--
    3連単6-4-1235.5200円47,100円--
    合計1,000円31,420〜52,050円
    5
    若林 義人
    5034
    5
    0.21
    64竹間 隆晟522140.19